Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#314
Pace61.6#316
Improvement-0.7#204

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#220
Improvement+0.1#174

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#333
Improvement-0.8#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 84   @ Purdue L 76-77 5%     0 - 1 +8.0 +12.6 -4.7
  Nov 10, 2013 19   @ Kentucky L 63-93 2%     0 - 2 -12.9 -0.5 -13.0
  Nov 16, 2013 133   San Diego L 44-75 20%     0 - 3 -31.5 -23.4 -11.3
  Nov 19, 2013 184   Morehead St. L 61-74 31%     0 - 4 -17.0 -14.0 -2.8
  Nov 23, 2013 281   @ Tulane W 91-86 OT 30%     1 - 4 +1.0 +13.8 -12.9
  Nov 29, 2013 234   Southeast Missouri St. L 65-79 31%     1 - 5 -18.2 -9.6 -9.5
  Nov 30, 2013 276   Texas St. L 61-70 39%     1 - 6 -15.3 -2.1 -14.6
  Dec 07, 2013 320   @ Tennessee Martin L 66-79 47%     1 - 7 -21.4 -13.3 -8.5
  Dec 15, 2013 283   Chattanooga W 87-71 52%     2 - 7 +6.1 +12.1 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2013 220   Hampton W 69-67 OT 38%     3 - 7 -4.1 -3.8 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2013 298   Navy W 72-65 60%     4 - 7 -4.8 +7.0 -10.8
  Dec 27, 2013 28   @ North Carolina L 60-75 2%     4 - 8 +1.0 -6.5 +8.3
  Dec 30, 2013 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-60 16%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -2.6 -9.2 +6.3
  Jan 01, 2014 337   @ Stetson W 67-65 OT 55%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -8.7 -6.6 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2014 308   Jacksonville W 73-66 62%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -5.4 -11.4 +5.8
  Jan 06, 2014 269   North Florida W 70-64 48%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -2.6 -4.4 +2.1
  Jan 09, 2014 173   @ South Carolina Upstate L 64-73 14%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -6.7 -2.9 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2014 251   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-74 24%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -11.0 -6.9 -4.4
  Jan 16, 2014 102   Mercer L 58-74 16%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -14.4 -2.2 -15.5
  Jan 18, 2014 339   Kennesaw St. W 82-69 76%     8 - 12 4 - 4 -3.7 +11.5 -13.9
  Jan 24, 2014 272   Lipscomb L 74-75 48%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -9.8 -6.7 -3.0
  Jan 30, 2014 269   @ North Florida L 66-67 28%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -4.1 -3.2 -0.9
  Feb 01, 2014 308   @ Jacksonville L 77-95 41%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -24.8 -9.8 -13.4
  Feb 06, 2014 251   East Tennessee St. L 50-64 43%     8 - 16 4 - 8 -21.6 -20.0 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2014 173   South Carolina Upstate L 59-76 28%     8 - 17 4 - 9 -20.3 -3.0 -21.1
  Feb 14, 2014 339   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-69 57%     8 - 18 4 - 10 -13.1 -6.3 -6.9
  Feb 16, 2014 102   @ Mercer L 67-89 7%     8 - 19 4 - 11 -14.9 +3.7 -20.5
  Feb 21, 2014 272   @ Lipscomb L 66-70 28%     8 - 20 4 - 12 -7.2 -5.1 -2.4
  Feb 27, 2014 337   Stetson W 96-58 75%     9 - 20 5 - 12 +21.7 +18.1 +4.7
  Mar 01, 2014 189   Florida Gulf Coast L 72-92 31%     9 - 21 5 - 13 -24.2 +5.3 -31.1
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%